Climate Change… its SO not just about Polar bears anymore!
I’ve read a few articles and bits of reports from the UK and U.S. Military about future military conflicts likely to occur as a result of Climate Change and personally, its definitely some of the most frightening stuff I’ve ever read about Climate Change. Every now and then they do these really long term strategic forecasts into future security threats and the last two I’ve read speak heavily of wars over water resources as a result of Climate Change. Theres also predicted conflicts as the Arctic melts away exposing oil reserves.
The way the Planet will react is one thing, but the way people in power and their military will react is a whole different story of suffering. As Doctor Peter Lloyd from New Zealand said: Historically, each time people have been forced to choose between starving and raiding, they always choose to raid.I know its difficult to pinpoint what exactly could happen in this area and for this reason you can’t exactly put it in IPCC reports and impact scenarios (nor would you if you were directly employed by governments that are likely to actually do the damage) but this is one of the reasons why [in my opinion] talking about polar bears, fluffy penguins and rock wrens, although important… is SO missing the point that it actually misleads the public about the severity of the changes we’re facing.
Climate Change is a social issue, its not just about the animals we see once a year in a zoo or in a magazine. Its about Nazi style immigration regimes and border controls to keep Climate Refugees out. Its about keeping the global north insulated albeit temporarily, from the suffering they’ve caused the global south.
Forget the Penguins and Rock Wrens. This is what Climate Change could look like.
This new book looks very interesting…
‘Gwynne Dyer’s brilliant analysis, in Climate Wars, of the geopolitical conflicts that may unfold over the next few decades — even if we do get serious about global warming — is almost too fearsome to absorb. When I talk to the scientists themselves, there is a palpable sense of panic, something confirmed by Dyer in his interviews conducted around the world.’
From one of the world’s great geopolitical analysts, here is a terrifying glimpse of the none-too-distant future, when climate change will force the world’s powers into a desperate struggle for advantage and even survival.
Dwindling resources. Massive population shifts. Natural disasters. Spreading epidemics. Drought. Rising sea levels. Plummeting agricultural yields. Crashing economies. Political extremism. These are some of the expected consequences of runaway climate change in the decades ahead, and any of them could tip the world towards conflict. Prescient, unflinching, and based on exhaustive research and interviews, Climate Wars promises to be one of the most important books of the coming years.
Gwynne Dyer has worked as a freelance journalist, columnist, author, broadcaster, and lecturer on international affairs for more than 20 years. His twice-weekly column on international affairs is published by 175 newspapers in some 45 countries and is translated into more than a dozen languages. He is the author of several books, including War, Future: Tense, The Mess They Made, and Climate Wars (all published by Scribe).